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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: hclasvegas   😊 😞
Number: of 86276 
Subject: Trump vs Harris now a dead heat,
Date: 08/05/24 8:09 AM
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" Harris now leads Trump with 45.5% of the expected vote, compared to Trump’s 44.1%.

According to Silver’s calculations, Harris now has 50.5% chance to win the general election, compared to Trump’s 48.8%. Harris also now has a 65.9% chance to win the popular vote—but the predicted elector share remains close, with the vice president only beating Trump by about 18 votes in the Electoral College.

The same model had independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. polling at about 5% in the general election."

msn.com - Nate silver says election is now a toss up as harris takes polling lead
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This community has written 86,214 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
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