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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: weatherman   😊 😞
Number: of 41628 
Subject: poll cats
Date: 11/03/2024 6:17 PM
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something weird is happening with the sheer number of polls calling the election a draw with comparable margins of error.
the variety in poll methodology, and respondents, would imply broader tails.
polls seem to be making corrections that steer each, net, to a draw. (kind of like odds-weighted bookmakers do on purpose)

ok, my guess is that there will small chance to avoid chaos\violence with a trump electorate loss unless accompanied by a landslide harris popular vote (latter highly probable).
but the popular vote will not keep peace if media accommodates trump broadcasting premature victory before 6 nov, regardless of fox news.
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