Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy❤
No. of Recommendations: 2
something weird is happening with the sheer number of polls calling the election a draw with comparable margins of error.
the variety in poll methodology, and respondents, would imply broader tails.
polls seem to be making corrections that steer each, net, to a draw. (kind of like odds-weighted bookmakers do on purpose)
ok, my guess is that there will small chance to avoid chaos\violence with a trump electorate loss unless accompanied by a landslide harris popular vote (latter highly probable).
but the popular vote will not keep peace if media accommodates trump broadcasting premature victory before 6 nov, regardless of fox news.
No. of Recommendations: 4
ok, my guess is that there will small chance to avoid chaos\violence with a trump electorate loss unless accompanied by a landslide harris popular vote (latter highly probable).
but the popular vote will not keep peace if media accommodates trump broadcasting premature victory before 6 nov, regardless of fox news
Well, I'm glad you think it's highly probable. Everything I look at (538) says too close to call, but there are some indications that Harris is doing well. All the stuff showing Trump doing well is doubtful.
I don't think we can avoid some violence if Harris wins. It's almost baked into the cake. I'm wanting to see if some of the states have vote certification problems that can't be resolved quickly. I think we will have problems there. That will help trigger the violence - and they will blame it on us. Of course they can always magnify any glitch.
No. of Recommendations: 3
Of course they can always magnify any glitch.
Of course they can always manufacture any glitch.
Fixed that for you.
No. of Recommendations: 3
Of course they can always manufacture any glitch.
Fixed that for you.
That too, but if you followed Albaby, there are always glitches. Right now they're scrutinizing some 2500 faulty registrations in PA. For the average MAGA that becomes 2500 fraudulent votes. So when the spin begins they'll allude to that and more. Dope will believe it and will completely ignore that its registrations, not votes - until later, when they've invented something new. No amount of debunking penetrates - I just hope we win and have successful prosecutions.
No. of Recommendations: 4
there are always glitches.
Quite true.
I guess I shouldn’t say I fixed it for you, I supplemented it.
If magnifying glitches isn’t sufficient, they’ll manufacture some.
No. of Recommendations: 1
If magnifying glitches isn’t sufficient, they’ll manufacture some.
Yes, the took a video of workers taking a container of votes out from under a table where they store them and convinced some folks something nefarious was going on. In some places ballots may be run through a machine twice, but they aren't counted twice. Still, after it was all over, they did find some uncounted ballots that made no difference in the outcome. As Albaby pointed out there are going to be glitches.
No. of Recommendations: 2
anyone finding updated threat monitor please post.
nonpartisan site estimates 90% chance of significant violence in trump electoral loss, most vulnerable are combos:
- gov offices\institutions
- mid-large cities
- swing states
https://www.s7risk.com/2024-us-election-political-...(harris loss, 10% chance significant violence)
