Post #25808 by onepoorguy on the US Policy board

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No war in the Pacific.

There might be. China shows no sign of backing down, and we are obligated by treaty to intervene on the Philippines' behalf. Plus it's just the right thing to do (i.e. China does NOT own the entirety of the South China Sea no matter how much they say they do).

If things don't improve, I expect shots to be fired by the end of next year. And I see no avenue in which Xi can back down and save "face" (very important to Chinese culture).

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