RFK is the lunatic vote, which would go to trump anyway in a 2-person race.

Actually not. As Philip Bump explains in this WaPo column, Kamala actually has a bigger lead with RFK out of the race than with him in it. The difference is small (1 point) but it’s hardly a given that RFK dropping out (as is now expected) will change much at all.

For one thing, his support is very small, now that Biden has dropped out. His polling numbers dropped substantially immediately after than announcement and have not recovered. Also, the polling is largely national, but RFK isn’t even on the ballot in many states.

I read the column a couple days ago, (and am in the airport awaiting boarding so, no review) but it seems that there are large blocks who were disenchanted with Biden: Latinos, younger, who in a three person choice between Biden & Trump were choosing RFK, but in a two person race went to Harris.

RFK’s exit might actually help the Dems, or at least be close to neutral.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/21...

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