Post #78899 by Dope1 on the US Policy board

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Because we haven't yet hit the point where physical supplies are constrained, and futures markets incorporate the non-trivial chance that the Strait might reopen in the future. Not because the Strait is open now.

Who claimed the Strait was open? No one did.

It's not about "forcing our way through."

It is if you want the strait opened yesterday.

It's about whether conditions permit civilian commercial cargo vessels to safely traverse the waterway.....which happens after you force the strait open.

The goal of Operation Project Freedom was to enable merchant ships to once again freely go through the Strait. That goal has failed.

I think that remains to be seen. Why not let it play out?

You need to take away the threat of land-based drones and missiles. Which almost certainly requires ground troops to control the Iranian coastline, not "forcing our way through" the Strait.

No kidding. Which is why I've pointed out a half dozen times now that we've never tried to force our way through the strait.

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