No. of Recommendations: 1
I think this puts Canada in the spot of the girl who had a steady boyfriend, and who now has interest from another. Methinks the “old reliable” boyfriend will be showing up with flowers and candy more often as soon as the regime changes, as it is likely to bend in 2026 and guaranteed to break in 2028.I don't think US trade policy is likely to change in 2026, or even 2028. Here is the way I (a Canadian) view the 2028 race (still a far way off)
MAGA like Republican win : 40%
Democratic win, but with a protectionist policy : 25%
Democratic win, but with a open trade policy : 25%
Republican win, with an open trade policy : 10%
So on balance, I see a protectionist policy sticking well into the future.
tecmo
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