No. of Recommendations: 2
You’ve voiced THE real question.
The answer is "yes... for now".
The Chinese are building out their navy. Navy is the key. If they can't get their army across the Strait, it's useless. Right now our navy is stronger, but they are catching up. If we don't get our act together soon, they'll be strong enough to protect troops crossing the Strait.
The other thing that's a problem for them is the alliance of the US, Australia, Japan, Britain AUKUS. Even as we're fumbling, Japan is stepping up, and Britain and Australia don't seem to have our issues.
But we still have some awesome subs and carriers.
Give them 10 years, if we continue to be incompetent at launching a new DDG class, and they could have a credible chance to succeed.
CSIS currently days China will lose, too.
