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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: FlyingCircus   😊 😞
Number: of 5383 
Subject: GTAA & Timing Signals 0313
Date: 03/14/26 12:22 AM
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Due to the action of the last couple of weeks, my (preservationist) GTAA dashboard is indicating cash over all equity classes, and most timing signals are bearish; the exceptions are the two longer term BCs, the 26W over 52w, Seasonal timing and Sjuggerud. By midweek (latest Wednesday I was 7% equities, 30% fixed income and 63% cash.

GTAA
Asset Class 	33WMA	To High	To MA	Target
DLC OUT/99D -4.4% 0.987 0%
DMO OUT -6.8% 0.97 0%
DSC CHG -7.6% 1.01 0%
SMO CHG -7.4% 1.00 0%
FD IN -8.9% 1.024 0%
FDSC CHG -9.2% 0.999 0%
EM IN -10.1% 1.034 0%
RE IN -3.9% 1.033 0%
FRE OUT -10.9% 0.972 0%


Timing Signals - US Markets
(It's not better in EFA & Emerging anymore from the limited data)
WEATHERVANE (US MKT)	-8		Get Out (alt: Bottom Opp)
INTERMEDIATE-TERM
INDICATOR BEARS BULLS AS OF
Nasdaq New Highs/New Lows Bear 3/2/26
SMA Slope, S&P 500 Bull 12/19/25
Dying Bullish Euphoria comb. Bull 7/23/25
The Key 1 2
26W / 52W Bull 6/26/25
DMI 3/2/26
10/50 Crossover Bear 3/3/26
PPO Weekly Bear 3/6
Above 20 & 50 Bear 2/27
PAMA Naz 50 Bear 3/6
Breadth Confirms Bear 3/5
Naz Bullish % Bear 3/6
S&P PAMA 200 Bear 3/6/26
Breadth Thrust
>7% off last peak Bull 11/20/25 not including today; expect bearish tomorrow
Corporate Bond Index 3/6/26
Volatility Bear 2/19
Sjuggerud mod Bull 5/12
Hindinburg Omen Bear 2/24
BearMarket Warning Naz Bear (almost always)
MACD on RUT Bull 10/27/25

SHORT TERM/TOP WARNING 3
PPO Daily Bear 2/27/26
SP600 PAMA20 Bear 3/6
# 26 week highs 12/12/25
PAMA5D %OFF 21dh Bear 3/13/26
PAMA Divergence Highs 1/23/26
PAA Count 1/23/26
Recent Simple Top 10/24/25
Extreme PAMA low Off -
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