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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: Goofyhoofy ✸✹🐝🐝 HONORARY
SHREWD   😊 😞
Number: of 86249 
Subject: Re: NYT: flows through Strait up
Date: 10/04/26 6:08 PM
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This board's collective opinion is that Iran is more or less a superpower capable of shutting the strait down. The prediction isn't working in the face of the data.

Murdoch’s Wall Street Journal has a different view:

Oil Was Pouring Out of Hormuz Again. Then Attacks on Ships Resurged.

Iran’s targeting of ships has improved, according to a U.S. official, making transits through the Strait of Hormuz riskier

DUBAI—A new wave of attacks on vessels around the Strait of Hormuz is threatening a recovery in Middle Eastern oil exports—just as Gulf producers have pushed crude shipments back toward prewar levels.

The swift rebound in shipments in recent weeks has been driven by U.S. naval protection and earlier waves of strikes that knocked out Iranian radar and communications along the contested strait. The United Arab Emirates and other producers have set up an elaborate system of shuttle runs in which tankers load inside the Persian Gulf, exit Hormuz and transfer the crude to vessels waiting outside the waterway.

But after several days without reported attacks on ships toward the end of last month, the U.K. Maritime Trade Operations, which is affiliated with the Royal Navy, has reported seven strikes on vessels around the waterway since Sept. 28. On Sunday, it reported another strike, but didn’t specify when the incident happened.

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy issued a warning to ships planning to use the U.S.-backed route through the strait on Saturday, saying that they would be targeted and destroyed. “Don’t trust U.S. Navy and don’t use south corridor at all and don’t put your life in danger,” a radio message transmitted on a public shipping channel and reviewed by The Wall Street Journal said.

The renewed attacks may already be taking a toll, with early signs that oil flows are beginning to slow, analysts say.

wsj.com - Oil was pouring through the strait of hormuz again then attacks on shipping resurged

But, you know, you guys have declared victory 38 or 39 times already. What’s one more wrong declaration?
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This community has written 86,124 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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