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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: lizgdal ✶☼  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: ROE_Cash & YEY Blend
Date: 01/20/24 8:18 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 8
There was a post in 2016 listing returns for {ROEPLOW} and {ROIC}. I made SIP versions. {ROEPLOW} has inconsistent results, maybe because of the zero dividend criteria. {ROIC} might outperform the market by about 2. A ranked version {rankROTC} does better. Results (5 deep, 0.4% friction, 21 day hold):

Screen             CAGR  GSD  MDD  UI  Sharpe    From       To
ROEPLOW 12 28 -48 16 0.53 20060526 20160527
ROIC 8 25 -59 26 0.43 20060526 20160527
ticker_SPY 7 23 -55 17 0.40 20060526 20160527
ROEPLOW_SI 14 24 -48 14 0.71 20060526 20160527
ROTC_SI 10 25 -57 22 0.50 20060526 20160527
SP1500EqualWeight 9 25 -60 14 0.45 20060526 20160527
rankROTC 12 26 -56 22 0.56 20060526 20160527

ROEPLOW_SI 6 22 -36 12 0.31 20131231 20231229
ROTC_SI 11 22 -42 14 0.55 20131231 20231229
SP1500EqualWeight 9 23 -42 8 0.49 20131231 20231229
rankROTC 12 24 -46 16 0.57 20131231 20231229

ROEPLOW_SI 13 30 -78 33 0.47 19870302 20240116
ROTC_SI 13 26 -60 22 0.52 19870302 20240116
SP1500EqualWeight 11 22 -60 11 0.50 19870302 20240116
rankROTC 16 28 -62 23 0.61 19870302 20240116


2016 results are from: Comparing GTR1 results and Weekly Trade Ledgers, 06/01/2016
http://www.datahelper.com/mi/search.phtml?nofool=y...

gtr1.net: GTR1 Backtester - ROEPLOW_SI
gtr1.net: GTR1 Backtester - ROTC_SI
gtr1.net: GTR1 Backtester - rankROTC_20240120_lizgdal

Define {ROEPLOW}
Uses [Domicile Code] [Div'd Yield] [% Retained to Common Equity] [Market Cap $ (Mil)] [Total Return 26-Week]
Deblank [Domicile Code] [Div'd Yield] [% Retained to Common Equity] [Market Cap $ (Mil)]
Keep :[Domicile Code]="us"
Keep :[Div'd Yield]=0
Keep :[% Retained to Common Equity]>20
Sort Descending [Market Cap $ (Mil)]
Top :15 PlusTies
Deblank [Total Return 26-Week]
Sort Descending [Total Return 26-Week]
; Top :5
End

Define {ROEPLOW_SI}
step0: [Security Type; lag=1 days] == 0,10,11,12,18,30,31,48
step1: [Mkt Days Since Security Opened; lag=1 days] >= 1265
step2: [MktCap] Top 1700
step3: country is U.S.
step4: [Div] == 0
step5: [Equity] > 0
step6: [ROE] > 0.2
step7: [MktCap] Top 15
step8: [Total Return % over 126 days; lag=1 days] Top 5

Define {ROIC}
Uses [Return on Total Capital] [Market Cap $ (Mil)] [Total Return 13-Week] [Total Return 26-Week] [Total Return 1-Year]
Deblank [Return on Total Capital] [Market Cap $ (Mil)]
Keep :[Return on Total Capital]>=25
Sort Descending [Market Cap $ (Mil)]
Top :20 PlusTies
Deblank [Total Return 13-Week] [Total Return 26-Week] [Total Return 1-Year]
Create [RSW] :.4*[Total Return 13-Week]+.3*[Total Return 26-Week]+.3*[Total Return 1-Year]
Sort Descending [RSW]
; Top :5
End

Define {ROTC_SI}
step0: [Security Type; lag=1 days] == 0,10,11,12,18,30,31,48
step1: [Mkt Days Since Security Opened; lag=1 days] >= 1265
step2: [MktCap] Top 1700
step3: [ROTC] > 0.25
step4: [Equity] > 0
step5: [MktCap] Top 20
step6: [RSW] Top 5

Define {rankROTC}
Create [sumRanks]: [[rMC] + [rROTC] + [rMo]]
step0: [Security Type; lag=1 days] == 0,10,11,12,18,30,31,48
step1: [Mkt Days Since Security Opened; lag=1 days] >= 1265
step2: [MktCap] Top 1700
step3: [Equity] > 0
step4: [sumRanks] Top 5
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Members reply directly to lizgdal here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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