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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: CapitalAlligator ✶  😊 😞
Number: of 22353 
Subject: Re: DPZ = $470.60. BRKB = $470.60
Date: 07/16/25 6:43 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 5

Domino's GAAP earnings per share have roughly tripled in the past decade -- but part of that was buying back something like 40% of the float. I don't think the same level of EPS growth is likely going forward. Back of the envelope, if you take $17.5/share in TTM earnings and pencil in a 12% growth rate, you get around $31/share in GAAP EPS in 2030. Put whatever multiple on that you think is reasonable. A P/E of 18 would be equivalent to a share price of $555, an 18% total (not annualized!) return. The current 26x (!) multiple gives you $806, about a 71% total return. What's that, 11%/year, not adjusted for inflation? And who's eager to pay 26x earnings for that? Ted or Todd, apparently.

Meanwhile, you can get Domino's U.K. (DOM.L) for something like 11x trailing earnings / 12x forward earnings. And since you mention the yield, it's 4.25%. The gross margin is around 16%, I think -- same ballpark as DPZ. The returns on capital aren't nearly as good, and growth prospects may be limited, but depending on how you model it, it might be a better investment.

People love to pick success stories that sold for a high multiple and went on to deliver spectacular returns as evidence you shouldn't be afraid to pay up for a high-quality business -- Costco, Amazon. My only problem with this is I don't know if I'm looking at a Costco/Amazon or something like a CarMax that's going to start at a P/E of 30 and end up at a P/E of 12.

I own a dink of DPZ. Don't want to pay capital gains on it. Irrational. And I might have just talked myself into DOM. Slightly more rational.


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This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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