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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: musselmant   😊 😞
Number: of 3957 
Subject: Re: new screen based on Nasdaq100
Date: 05/22/2025 1:09 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 13
quantifiededges says:
pairing two ETFs with a once-a-year rebalance, has delivered a remarkable 18% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2012, with a maximum open drawdown of -28%. An anti-beta ETF (BTAL) acting as a hedge, and a 3x leveraged Nasdaq fund, specifically TQQQ, which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index with triple leverage. A once-a-year rebalance on the first trading day of January to restore the portfolio’s target weights. That’s it—just five minutes of work annually.
67% BTAL – long position. Market neutral, short beta exposure.
33% TQQQ – long position, 3x exposure to Nasdaq.

The result does not differ that much if you re-balance quarterly or annually. The annual return is 18%, and the max drawdown is 28% per post, from late 2011 forward.

You might want to swap TQQQ with QLD (2x leverage to Nasdaq 100) it notes.

Instead of a percent of each, I tested simply alternating between SPY and TQQQ by the best 200 day return from the latter's start date 19930129, with the usual BCC for timing used in many tests her. I also tested with QLD instead of treble leverage, and this was superior.
strategyTQQQ  Nasdaq100   SPY  strategyQLD
cagr 18.97 11% 11.3% 18.89
gsd 38.95 27.8 17.76 27.93
mdd -69.9 -80.79 -60.29 -51.7
shrp .64 .45 .58 .74
beta 1.29 1.3 1.0 1.0
2024 58.2 6.6 13.0 42.8
2008-27.5 -43.2 -40.9 -27.5
https://gtr1.net/2013/?s19930129h21i126::sp500.a:n...
https://gtr1.net/2013/?s19930129h21::nas100.a:nenu...

http://gtr1.net/2013/?h21::gprc%281%29gt0:tr%281,2...


http://gtr1.net/2013/?h21::gprc%281%29gt0:tr%281,2...
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