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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: rayvt ✧☼🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6244 
Subject: Re: new screen based on Nasdaq100
Date: 05/22/25 7:10 PM
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An anti-beta ETF (BTAL) acting as a hedge, and a 3x leveraged Nasdaq fund, specifically TQQQ,

Interesting.

Playing with this and a few variations, it looks like the "real" CAGR is more like 17% than 19%. Annual, semiannual, and quarterly rebalance were essentially the same up until Jan 2022. By the luck of the draw, the 2022 rebalance was lucky for the rest of the 2022 bear market. That is kinda wierd seeing what happened to TQQQ in 2022, down -79%. Ugh.

This confirms something I noticed a while ago. TQQQ seems like an arguably reasonable investment if you can apply some decent timing. Volatile as all get out!
I guess you have to ask yourself: do you feel lucky?

Link: https://testfol.io/?s=jVb1sNKubQC
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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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