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Author: lizgdal   😊 😞
Number: of 48481 
Subject: Re: Is This Fascism or Tyranny?
Date: 12/07/2023 6:53 PM
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I would argue that what they're doing is scaring the bajeezus out of the moderates and independents, as well as the Dems. Which should result in a lot more of them showing up at the polls to defeat Trump (just like last time).

Maybe - but I suspect it might be backfiring.


Good point. I think some people are genuinely concerned that Trump will try to become a Dictator (with 4 years to plan it and plenty of motivation from the criminal indictments). I doubt the current discussion will affect the voter turnout in 11 months, but it could affect the primaries that start in 7 weeks. Trump is far ahead, but Haley might be the tougher opponent for Biden.

In the first 2 primary states (NH and SC), Haley is leading among the non-Trumpers, and Trump has about 50%. Haley could possibly beat Trump if more candidates drop out.

The HarrisX poll (Nov 27)
Haley 55% Biden 45%
Trump 53% Biden 47%
DeSantis 51% Biden 49%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/preside...

Joe: If politics is about contrast, Haley offers a contrast to every major politician, Dec 7, 2023
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuZxaJFbzsA

Republican presidential primary election
Jan 23 New Hampshire
Feb 24 South Carolina
Mar 5 Super Tuesday

New Hampshire: Trump 45%, Haley 19%
South Carolina: Trump 50%, Haley 21%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/preside...
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