You're right that older people generally are less supportive of abortion rights, and Florida is pretty old (though we're not the oldest state any more)....but the electorate overall is generally in favor of protecting the ability to obtain an abortion. So this is not great news for Trump, though I suspect Biden will still lose the state.

An alternate theory?

A huge portion of current Floridians are not native Floridians, they moved to Florida from other states. Stereotypically, one of the biggest sources of new older Florida residents are snowbirds fleeing the cold winters in northern states that tend to be more liberal. At this point, elderly Florida voters in their 70s to 90s were in their 20s to 40s when abortion was first legalized via Roe v Wade. Could it be possible this generation of Floridians in their 70s to 90s are disgusted by seeing something that was important to them fify years ago arbitrarily tossed out by a Supreme Court that made up rationalizations for doing so out of thin air?

This might just be me desperately searching for silver linings but this dynamic could play itself out in several areas:

* people who fought for abortion rights in the 1960s and 1970s
* retired police who see a candidate for President promising to pardon people who rioted on DC police
* retired military who see a candidate for President who thinks wounded vets are suckers
* retired military who see a candidate for President undermining support for NATO and a world order they fought to protect


WTH

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