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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg   😊 😞
Number: of 3962 
Subject: Modern Family July 2024
Date: 07/31/2024 4:55 PM
Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 5
This month had only one new "Bullish" signal which was transportation IYT while ROC(50-DMA) is still Negative and "not yet confirmed".
Worth noting is the rise and fall of Semi-Conductors SMH where the %off 52wH since July-10(21days) is 14% after a 7.6% gain today.

Name                     SP500       R1000EW     R1000      R2000    Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) .SPX
EQAL IWB IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 31-Jul-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 09-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 16-Nov-23 12-Jul-24 17-Jul-24 24-Nov-23 07-May-24 15-May-24 09-Nov-23
Since_ChgD 265 254 258 19 14 250 85 77 265
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Yes Yes Yes Not Yet
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Resistance
ROC(50-DMA) 6.4% 0.6% 5.8% 2.1% -4.3% 2.1% 2.5% 5.6% 19.4%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 19.0% 6.8% 18.9% 8.8% 12.2% 15.0% 7.1% 3.4% 54.6%
DMAC(50,200) 9.0% 3.8% 8.6% 5.6% -0.1% 6.1% 4.3% 5.3% 24.0%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 5522.30 46.91 301.90 223.86 65.98 78.51 58.28 147.97 246.99
50-DMA 5446.38 45.27 297.28 207.80 64.76 75.83 50.51 139.51 255.90
200-DMA 4997.20 43.60 273.78 196.69 64.80 71.49 48.43 132.44 206.30
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 4 4 2 3 6 2
# BuyD /Yr 233 222 229 206 188 190 137 147 228
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 19 30 23 46 64 62 115 105 24
% BuyD /Yr 92% 88% 91% 82% 75% 75% 54% 58% 90%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 4117.37 37.43 225.16 162.21 52.80 57.91 38.57 112.41 137.46
52wH(Daily) 5667.20 46.91 309.37 224.60 70.61 79.13 59.23 148.26 281.27
% Off_52wH 3% NH 2% 0% 7% 1% NH NH 14%
LastD_52wH 16-Jul-24 31-Jul-24 16-Jul-24 16-Jul-24 21-Mar-24 16-Jul-24 26-Jul-24 26-Jul-24 10-Jul-24
SinceD_52wH 15 0 15 15 132 15 5 5 21
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

The "Economic Modern Family" (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 20-Apr-2024
- "BEARish" phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
- "Bullish" phase when NOT "BEARish"
- "Support" is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
- "Resistance" is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
- "Confirmed" when MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
Criteria that Refute- Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description- After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
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ARCHIVE
More Details: Posted end of month by mapg on the Mechanical Investing board (shrewdm.com)
Modern Family AUG-2024
Modern Family JUL-2024
Modern Family JUN-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=716545054
Modern Family MAY-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=527927256
Modern Family APR-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=901366147
Modern Family MAR-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=100513411
Modern Family FEB-2024. https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=618324647
Modern Family JAN-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=157834189
Modern Family DEC-2023, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=993308542

GD_


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