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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: weatherman   😊 😞
Number: of 75971 
Subject: kalshi ~50% odds greenland
Date: 01/19/26 6:31 PM
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ok, i think the trump factor is overly weighted, and the wisdom of crowds is a fail here on the lunacy of potus.
tacos supreme are on the menu because :

- as sentiment goes against trump on this, which it is, trump will pivot to some other MAGA entertainment topic as he has done in every loss.
(when is the last time he mentioned comey ?!)

- there is no direct and minimal effort path for trump to grift here.

trump has DOZENS if not hundreds of other shenanigans ongoing and available.
simply look at how has rendered insider stock trading opps within a span of 2 weeks via threats on defense, homebuilding, and credit corporations. there is simply no gop interested in pursuing trump family&friends on these types of trades, and he only has 3 years left to leverage up!



https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgreenterritory/greenl...


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