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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: albaby1 🐝 HONORARY
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Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: Step one, complete
Date: 01/19/26 1:49 PM
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How many of his personal "deals" in the ME are for only licensing the "Trump" brand (laundered bribes), with other people putting up the cash for the physical developments?

Tons. But they're still the deals that are going to make him a lot of money. It's not in his interest to see those deals disturbed by geopolitical crises. That's not to say he won't do things that might inadvertently blow up in his face, or that he won't be distracted by some other policy objective. But it means that, for the most part, he lines his own pockets more with a stable and "open for business" Middle East than one wracked by war.

So if you're predicting Trump's future action through the lens of his self-interest, it makes no sense to conclude that he would view his self-interest as including "bomb Kharg Island." Ever. It might be in the interest of the oil companies that Trump couldn't give two sharts about, but it's not in his interest.
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