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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: Dope1   😊 😞
Number: of 75959 
Subject: Re: Vance Failed. No Deal.
Date: 04/13/26 12:00 PM
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And they would not have 60% enriched uranium. They wouldn't be - or have been - two weeks away from breakout. They would be a year from breakout. Plenty of time to re-impose sanctions if they then restarted their program.

We talked about this. 60% is enough to make a bomb. A bomb that's much heavier that what the US has, but a bomb nonetheless.

A prospect that will take years to implement and still be supremely vulnerable to missile and drone attacks (hard to protect a fixed structure like a pipeline running through the desert away from all the anti-missile defenses. And probably only an option for Saudi (which already has such a pipeline), since most of the other Gulf States are tiny and don't have enough territory to run a pipeline to anywhere strategically different (where does Kuwait or Dubia or Oman build their pipeline to)?

Pipelines can be protected. And you can build them wherever you want. The Iranians keep sending drones against the Red Sea pipeline and guess what? It's running at 100% capacity.

BTW. Saudi Arabia and Israel have been talking since...2019.

Are the Iranians going to exist in a state of war with their Gulf neighbors for all eternity?
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