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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: Dope1   😊 😞
Number: of 75968 
Subject: Re: The strategy,...is working
Date: 03/18/26 1:44 PM
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If anyone hostile to the United States and Israel is in charge. Iran's long been governed by both the mullahs and the IGRC, with differing factions within those groups. It's hard to see how this conflict results in a more conciliatory regime coming out at the end.

The US and Israel are working through it. Let's see how it plays out.

Unless, of course, one is hoping for a popular uprising. But to borrow from the thread title, hope is not a strategy. The strategy of pursuing war against Iran almost entirely with air power is highly unlikely to yield that kind of regime change.

How do you know that's the strategy?

Hard to imagine a more chaotic and distracting/headache/resource drain for the United States than what's going on right now. And unless we get that popular uprising among the People of Iran, we're not going to be in much different a spot when we come out of this than going into it. So again, hard to see how the strategy is working, if we're doing to ourselves exactly what you think China was trying to do to us....10x over.

Really? I can imagine much worse than this. It doesn't take much imagination to highlight a scenario where
-China moves on Taiwan and the first island chain, and threatens Australia
-Iran shuts the straits
-Russia/China attack space assets and conduct cyber ops against the US
...and other things.

Then the US is fighting on 2 fronts and we're not equipped for that.

So again, hard to see how the strategy is working, if we're doing to ourselves exactly what you think China was trying to do to us....10x over.

We're not doing anything to ourselves.
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