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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg   😊 😞
Number: of 3962 
Subject: Modern Family 07-Jun-2024
Date: 06/07/2024 4:43 PM
Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 6
No change in signal status while 4 of 8 are "not yet confirmed".

Index Name:              SP500       R1000EW       R2000    Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) .SPX
EQAL IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish BEARish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
SignalD_Change 09-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 23-May-24 24-Nov-23 07-May-24 15-May-24 09-Nov-23
SinceD_Change 211 200 200 15 196 31 23 211
Confirmed Yes Not Yet Not Yet Yes Yes Not Yet Not Yet Yes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Resistance Support Resistance Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% -4.0% 0.3% 0.4% -3.5% 7.2%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 16.8% 3.8% 5.7% 11.9% 9.0% -4.5% -0.3% 46.4%
DMAC(50,200) 8.2% 5.1% 5.7% 3.6% 8.2% 3.7% 2.3% 21.5%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 5346.99 44.78 201.23 64.52 76.05 47.21 136.72 252.21
50-DMA 5190.66 44.97 202.55 66.15 74.52 48.61 132.53 226.15
200-DMA 4797.33 42.78 191.55 63.86 68.87 46.86 129.57 186.15
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 3 2 3 3 3 11 2
# BuyD /Yr 233 222 221 213 216 101 151 228
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 19 30 31 39 36 151 101 24
% BuyD /Yr 92% 88% 88% 85% 86% 40% 60% 90%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 4117.37 37.43 162.21 52.80 57.91 38.57 112.41 137.46
52wH(Daily) 5354.03 46.19 210.30 70.61 78.99 53.82 140.89 254.41
% Off_52wH NH 3% 5% 9% 4% 14% 3% NH
LastD_52wH 05-Jun-24 15-May-24 28-Mar-24 21-Mar-24 28-Mar-24 14-Dec-23 27-Feb-24 05-Jun-24
SinceD_52wH 2 23 71 78 71 176 101 2
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---


Modern Family:        Symbol:    Status:*     Confirmed:  Roles: (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)
S&P 500 Index .SPX Bullish Yes - major U.S. market index
Russell 1000EW EQAL Bullish Not Yet - gauge the health of many Large-cap & Mid-cap companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000 IWM Bullish Not Yet - gauge the health of many Small-cap & some Micro-cap companies within the U.S.
Transportation IYT BEARish Yes - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail XRT Bullish Yes - measure strength economy and consumer confidence
Regional Banks KRE Bullish Not Yet - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech IBB Bullish Not Yet - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor SMH Bullish Yes - innovation: a major player technology trends
As of (LastD) --- 07-Jun-24 07-Jun-24 ---


The "Economic Modern Family" (@MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (@MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 20-Apr-2024
- "BEARish" phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
- "Bullish" phase when NOT "BEARish"
- "Support" is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
- "Resistance" is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
- "Confirmed" when MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is Day# (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is Day# (ascending)
Criteria that Refute- Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description- After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
GD_

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