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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺ SILVER
SHREWD
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Number: of 22354 
Subject: Re: Buffett's stock selection screen
Date: 11/09/23 1:02 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 15
A stock I mentioned recently isn't cheap enough by this metric: Hershey at $189.41 as I type.

But, FWIW
data from Value Line

EPS growth rate last 10 years = 9.5%/year
EPS growth rate last 5 years = 10%/year (getting a pinch better, not slowing down)
Projected EPS growth rate next 3-5 years = 9.5%/year

Those are all based on their estimate that the current rate of earnings is about $9.51/share/year (two trailing quarters + two quarters estimates)
Today's price is 19.9 times that.
Certainly over 15, but their average annual P/E is 27.5. Some people might think it's fair to pay a premium price for premium goods.

Anyway, if the price goes back to its average multiple, and the earnings grow as fast as that forecast (two big ifs),
then a buyer today would make 38% one time gain on multiples at some point, plus 9.5%/year, plus the dividend yield 2.5%/year.

I haven't bought any [yet], just thinking out loud. So far.

Jim
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This community has written 21,861 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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