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Author: BreckHutHigh   😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/21/2023 9:47 AM
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Some here may be unaware that Berkshire is an indirect owner in Netpower (NPWR).

As of April of this year, OXY owns approximately 39% of the company.
https://netpower.com/net-power-and-rice-acquisitio...

With Berkshire's ownership of 25% of OXY's common plus warrants plus preferred Berkshire indirectly holds +/- 10% of NPWR.

NPWR has developed and demonstrated a new technology that generates electricity at low cost using natural gas with essentially zero emissions. This "net zero" gas fired electricity will ultimately supply power to OXY's Direct Air Capture (DAC)units, as well as to other oil field operations (drilling rigs, artificial lift, pumps and other field power requirements). The latter will allow OXY to fully transition toward zero surface emission field operation. NPWR's process produces nearly pure CO2 as a by-product which, in turn, is combined with the DAC CO2 stream and then sequestered into underground reservoirs (with a government incentive).

At the link below there's an 8/14/23 webcast of NPWR's Q2 update summarizing the company's history, technology and the huge addressable market. I suggest a listen. The potential for this company to radically change power generation in this country will be apparent. One would suppose BHE are watching this one closely.

Danny Rice NPWR CEO: (14:34 min): "..the Inflation Reduction Act 45Q provides $85/ton for each ton of CO2 (emitted by their process?) that is sequestered. This incentive will be key to catalyzing demand, which in turn enables us to scale up and reduce our plant Capex over time. In time, we expect the cost of the plant to be fully underwritten just by the 45Q. So think about that for a second, and how profound that can be. Clean reliable power is free upside."
https://ir.netpower.com

Natural gas production, associated with oil production, in the Permian Basin continues to grow. Prices for natural gas in the Permian are low. Previously the gas was flared as a waste product, but regulators are now putting a stop to it. In many cases the gas is being given away after processing and transportation costs out of the basin are paid.
https://aegis-hedging.com/insights/basis-brief-wah...

If it works, cheap Permian natural gas will soon be used to power OXY's DAC efforts as well as electrification of their oilfield reducing emissions.

Occidental (NYSE: OXY), NET Power's largest shareholder, is an international energy company with 50 years of experience in large-scale CO2 transportation, use and storage. Occidental is applying its carbon management experience to advance new low carbon initiatives to help achieve net-zero emissions in its operations and help others do the same. As previously announced, Occidental will host NET Power's first utility-scale plant (SN1) at its operations near Odessa, Texas in the Permian Basin.
...
Vicki Hollub, President and CEO of Occidental, said, 'We are excited to support this transaction, which will further NET Power's commercialization plans and help achieve decarbonization goals globally. We first invested in NET Power because we believe the technology can accelerate Oxy's efforts to reduce emissions in our existing operations and ultimately supply emissions-free power to the Direct Air Capture ('DAC') sites and sequestration hubs we are developing.'
https://netpower.com/press-releases/net-power-to-c...

FWIW, David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital recently opened a position in NPWR:

NET Power (NPWR) is a clean energy company with carbon capture technology that
captures about 97% of the CO2 emissions in natural gas plants. It became public this quarter
through a SPAC. What could be less popular than that these days? We think that just might
be part of the opportunity. We believe that carbon capture will be a large market and NPWR
has strong backing. The CEO is Daniel Rice, and he and his family have been extremely
successful in the natural gas industry. The company has partnered with Occidental
Petroleum, Constellation Energy and Baker Hughes. NPWR is in the early stages of its
commercial deployment and if it doesn't work out, the downside is more than we would
usually stomach. However, the upside also appears to potentially be a multi-bagger and we
have managed our risk by sizing the position appropriately. We established our position
earlier in the year around the public offering for an average price of $10.10 per share.
NPWR ended the quarter at $13.00 per share."

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1pczgr1Z5YAQkFMFFv...

Maybe reducing CO2 emissions worldwide will slow rising sea levels thereby allowing Jim Mungofitch to remain domiciled in Monaco a while longer.
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Author: BreckHutHigh   😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/22/2023 8:49 PM
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More on the story:

https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_579593f1ea6e...
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Author: Texirish 🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/23/2023 12:20 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 16
Thanks for sharing that NetPower presentation. I am interested in the technology area of reducing CO2 emissions so I just spent an enjoyable hour going through the presentation. It was well crafted and they've obviously put a lot of effort into developing it. I was impressed. It describes a high potential for future profits, primarily by licensing fees and royalty payments.

My Dad taught me many lessons about human nature. One was if a piece of bait looked really tempting, try to spot the fishhooks it may contain. So this was in my mind as I read the presentation. On a quick first pass, I noted three possible ones.

The first is buried in the Risks Assessment attached to the presentation. It states:

"Our test facility has not overcome all power loads so as to provide net positive power delivery to the commercial grid during its operation. If initial commercial plants using the NET Power Process are unable to efficiently provide a net power output to the commercial grid, it will negatively impact our business." Pretty important hurdle.

The next was the availability of sufficient equipment (and other) supplies needed to support their ambitious plans. They spent a lot of time spelling this out in the Risks section. Somewhat like the questions of their being enough lithium, other rare metals, etc. copper mines, and other supplies to enable EV's to displace ICE's at the rates many project. Or build the wind farms needed to displace hydrocarbons with electricity.

As one example, OXY's semi-commercial scale DAC plant startup has been delayed until 2025 by equipment delays. They still have a lot of potential operating issues to overcome and cost reductions to achieve. Yet their CEO is claiming 70-100 commercial plants by 2035. Seems premature. Process development can have many pitfalls.

The third is the ability to protect their technology. The use of oxygen to replace air in burning natural gas to produce power is a neat idea. It produces a high concentration CO2 stream and H20 as emissions. This makes it much easier to capture and dispose/utilize the CO2. After all, the problem with hydrocarbon fuels is the combustion products with dilute CO2. Otherwise, they have high energy content, are easy to transport and store, and are a cheap source of energy. That's why the Industrial Revolution happened. But the idea of using oxygen is hardly novel in itself - see rocked fuels, etc. OXY is using it in the cement plant that is part of their DAC process for the same reasons. NetPower claims patents but also acknowledge they may be challenged. HOw narrow are the patents and what will be the economics be to contest them? NetPower will still have first mover advantages - how long can they hold up?

I'm not saying that NetPower may not be a good investment opportunity. I so say don't assume it's a developed technology or will remain unique.

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Author: Beginner   😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/23/2023 12:49 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
Appreciate this discussion. Thank y'all.
The suggestion was generous and the analysis was helpful.
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Author: nola622   😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/23/2023 1:07 PM
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The Rice brothers have a great track record, so that is a plus. But it should also be remembered that they have a large incentive to make sure Natural Gas sees growing use in the future. Check out EQT if you haven't been following the family.
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Author: BreckHutHigh   😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/23/2023 9:32 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 1
"My Dad taught me many lessons about human nature...."

Tex, Thank you for your thoughts. To be honest, my eyes glazed over when I got to the three full pages of potential risks (all listed in teensy tiny text).

Interesting comments from you on their ability or inability to protect their intellectual property rights. I'm not a patent attorney. I suspect they have an army of lawyers working on this.

I threw a few bucks at NPWR and will monitor. If it all works out as they outline this could be a significant company in the future - or not.

Successful completion and start up of the OXY-DAC plant appears to be the next big hurdle. That looks to be three years out.







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Author: BreckHutHigh   😊 😞
Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/25/2023 6:13 PM
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"The Rice brothers have a great track record..."

I know that posting Seeking Alpha articles is frowned upon in these "Hallowed Halls", but am going to post this one anyway:

Author:"I am a serial investor in the Rice family, and they have made a material difference to my wealth through the four companies they have run that I have invested in."

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4631002-net-power...
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝🐝 SILVER
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 15059 
Subject: Re: NetPower (NPWR)
Date: 08/25/2023 7:17 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 6
I know that posting Seeking Alpha articles is frowned upon in these "Hallowed Halls", but am going to post this one anyway:

Oh?
I for one like good leads, wherever they are.

Personally I just dislike posts that have nothing BUT a link. With no idea what is at the destination, I never click.

Jim
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