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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: TheReitStuff ⎊☼🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 22349 
Subject: Re: Unite Group UTG, couple of notes
Date: 07/08/26 11:49 PM
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BTW, an interesting subtle aspect of these big buybacks. Please correct this view if it's incorrect.

When the company estimates forward what their earnings will be, they use the weighted average number of shares across the year. Similarly for reporting. However, I believe the cash/asset values are taken at a point in time of the results.

In other words, UTG or any company will only get 'half the buyback benefit' in the current tax year from the buybacks across the year, assuming a constant rate all year. However, the loss of assets fully affects the results.

There is also a gap between selling an asset, losing those rental yields, cancelling some debt, and buying back shares to cancel (very slow; there's a speed limit).

Again, this creates a lag where earnings drop in the current year, then the benefit shows up in the following year.

Adding these effects, I think more than half the earnings jump from the asset sales/buybacks this year will show up in the following year's results.

On the other hand, the market notoriously looks ahead to the future only when Murphy's Law says it will.

TRS
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