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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: albaby1 ✶❂🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 86253 
Subject: Re: India, Russia and China
Date: 09/02/25 6:50 PM
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BRICS has been around for 25 years, almost. You seem to be u see the illusion that India is either run by children (and the Bad Orange Man did a meanie) or that they’re hopelessly naive (let’s suddenly cozy up to China, great idea!) when it reality neither is the case.

I am under neither illusion. Trump made a substantial, significant change to U.S. policy towards India, and India is responding to that change in policy. A 50% tariff on imports is not at all trivial. Not just for its direct impact, which is enormous - the 50% total tariff is one of the largest he imposed globally (if not the largest), and it will decimate Indian exports to the U.S. But because it reflects a fundamentally adversarial position towards India and its current government. That is not "doing a meanie" - it is a fundamental, dead serious change in U.S. policy towards the country.

With the U.S. now clearly adopting an adversarial posture towards India, they are changing their posture towards other global powers. That's a completely rational response. It's not naive - they know exactly who China and Russia are. But with the U.S. switching from cooperative partner into adversary, they have to re-evaluate their posture towards China and Russia. They can no longer afford to be as confrontational towards China as they have been since the Galwan Valley incident. They were taking a very hard posture towards China before Trump was elected - but now that they can no longer count on U.S. support for anything, they can't maintain that position.

India is "searching" for allies among their existing relationships - and they are finding them in China and Russia. Not as a binary matter - they are not flicking a switch from "Not Ally" to "Ally." They're just moving significantly closer to Russia and China, and significantly further from the U.S., than they used to be. By waging a trade war against all three countries simultaneously, he has given them a common adversary and a common interest in opposing U.S. economic and trade policy together.

This is a really, really bad outcome for the U.S. - and for folks in the U.S. who believed that containing China was one of our most important foreign policy issues. Do you really think that the tri-lateral summit that Xi was able to assemble between the three countries was a good outcome?
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This community has written 86,214 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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