Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
 Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week! | How To Invest
Search BRK.A
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week! | How To Invest
Search BRK.A

Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |
Post New
Author: tecmo ⎊  😊 😞
Number: of 285 
Subject: Correction Check In
Date: 11/03/25 5:02 PM
Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 8
From time to time I like to review what a deep correction would look like, here are some numbers.

S&P-500 is currently at 6833, a 20% hair-cut would take it to 5460 or so. As point of reference the market closed 2021 at 4740, so that would take the 4 year CAGR down to 3.6% - which I think sounds "about right"

tecmo
...



Print the post


Author: tecmo ⎊  😊 😞
Number: of 285 
Subject: Re: Correction Check In
Date: 11/03/25 5:03 PM
Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 2
excluding dividends... which would add about 2%

tecmo
...
Print the post


Author: tecmo ⎊  😊 😞
Number: of 19827 
Subject: Re: Correction Check In
Date: 11/04/25 10:17 AM
Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 4
Another scenario

Index drops 10% and then is flat for 2 years (through 2027).

Current : 6833
Correction : 6149

6 Year CAGR : 4.43% (plus say 2% for dividends) = 6.5%

This would bring long term equity returns in line with historical averages...


tecmo
...
Print the post


Post New
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (3) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Ticker or Board Name Author

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds