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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: rayvt   😊 😞
Number: of 75971 
Subject: Re: 2026 and beyond
Date: 12/24/25 6:44 PM
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If no dividend and we have another bad market downturn (think economic collapse in 2007 and the pandemic) I will feel really bad for the individuals that bought into the "create your own dividend" strategy.

Studies & backtests have repeatedly shown that this is not the case.

The testfol.io link I posted earlier showed this.
Was that on this board or another board? I don't remember.
So, anyway, here is a new backtest. 4% "DIY dividend" quarterly, adjusted for inflation. https://testfol.io/?s=b10hGQKc7NK (click "Logarithmic scale" on the chart)

SPY, BRK-B, GAM (who??), all beat KMI. Ditto for 5% dividend ($125/qtr).

Can't show the 2008/2009 crash since KMI doesn't go back that far. But for the covid crash starting 2/20/2020 the DIY dividends of those three also beat KMI. https://testfol.io/?s=4yr3Zcds6wJ

Gotta go, grandkids are ready for Christmas Eve.
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