Post #820 by weatherman on the Macroeconomic Trends and Risks board

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having learned their lesson from same-day retraction of a prior report that was too near to a tariff deadline, gs states

"we are raising our 2025 growth forecast by 0.5pp to 1% Q4/Q4 and reducing our 12-month recession odds to 35%"

ok, i know they have to put out something for the big salaries, but this still assumes nothing changes until the next tariff deadline. which has been a bad assumption every time.

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