Please clarify.

For daily, Oct 16 showed potential recession, but SMA was +1.9%, so no sell signal.

Oct 17 - Oct 24, SMA was +, so don't pay attention to recession indicators.

Oct 25 - Oct 31, SMA was negative (sell signal), but recession indicators were both up (Disconfirm recession), so ignore SMA sell signal and stay IN stocks.

Nov 1 - Nov 14 SMA was +, so ignore recession indicators. Which were both up anyway.

Nov 15, SMA was +, so ignore recession indicators. Even though it said potential recession.

The only recent signals to sell were 4/17/22 (for 3 weeks), 12/11/22 (for 5 weeks) and 3/12/23 (for 2 weeks). Previous was 3/1/2020 to 5/31/2020.

Note that I use 2% below the SMA, because that backtests better than just below the SMA. Going by just below SMA, you would have been out from 4/17/22 to 1/15/23.

Mechanical Investing FAQ

---

Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.