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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: TheReitStuff ⎊☼🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 86252 
Subject: Re: Fund, MEWD
Date: 08/15/26 12:08 PM
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Considering the last 20 years of european stock valuations, trend, adjusting for reinvested divis, inflation, and growth.

There have been major valuation collapses in Euro indices 3 times in the last 20 years (2009, 2012, 2020).

Were equivalent lows to be reached once more, it would be equivalent to roughly a -45% to -50% fall from the current level of the indices.

If you buy this ETF, it would be reasonable to expect that sometime in the next 7 years, you'll see a 40 to 50% dump from wherever it has reached.

Probably closer to -40% given that equal weight ETFs tend to be less exposed to fluff and hype.

If I had to guess 'when in the next 7 years', I might look at things like Trump, AI mania, US valuations, etc.

'perhaps sooner rather than later'?

TRS
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