Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (77) |
Author: mungofitch ✹✺ SILVER
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 1198 
Subject: Re: FKA: DG
Date: 08/03/24 6:36 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 8
DG was a “reasonably buy” at $192.43 back in Feb ’22. It probably is finally a table pounder now?

Well, that does presuppose that there has been no change to the business. They are definitely going through a rough patch. EPS was about $7 in the last four quarters rather than the roughly $11 that might otherwise have been expected. (it also presupposes that my old post had some merit!)

The question is whether the currently lower profitability patch is transient, mostly transient, or permanent. I am going for "mostly transient".

Their net profit margins were around 6.2% after the TCJA tax cuts but before the pandemic bump. This year is looking more like 3.9%. I perhaps optimistically expect to see numbers over 5.5% soon enough. Sales per share continues its happy march, so that kind of rebound would be very good for earnings...and presumably the price.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 1,188 posts about Falling Knives. The article-length ones it recommended most:
FKA: DG · 25 recs · 2023
MTD – A Masterclass in Un-Swiss Capital Allocation · 17 recs · 2026
Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) · 15 recs · 2026
ORCL, PSKY, oh my · 15 recs · 2026
Coloplast (CLPBY) · 12 recs · 2026
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (77) |


Announcements
Falling Knives FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of FK | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community