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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg ✭x2  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: ModernFamily EOM Mar-2026
Date: 03/31/26 8:37 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 6
      Name               SP500          R200        R800       R2000     Transportation    Retail    Regional Bank    BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY
IWL IWR IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 31-Mar-26 01-Apr-26 01-Apr-26 01-Apr-26 31-Mar-26 01-Apr-26 01-Apr-26 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-26
Signal_Status* Bullish BEARish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 07-May-25 24-Mar-26 08-May-25 14-May-25 14-May-25 03-Dec-25 02-Dec-25 28-Jul-25 08-May-25
Since_ChgD 328 8 328 321 321 119 120 246 327
Confirmed Not Yet Yes Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance Resistance
ROC(50-DMA) 0.1% -0.8% 4.0% 4.3% 6.1% 0.4% 5.4% 1.4% 12.2%
Status_MAC(200) Resistance Resistance Support Support Support Resistance Resistance Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 14.9% 16.3% 8.8% 12.5% 7.0% 11.4% 6.6% 16.6% 47.3%
DMAC(50,200) 2.5% 2.1% 3.7% 6.6% 6.5% 1.6% 5.8% 10.7% 16.8%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 650.34 160.48 97.23 248.00 74.60 80.47 65.15 168.85 383.40
50-DMA 678.69 168.08 100.06 258.25 77.94 85.26 67.79 171.08 400.00
200-DMA 661.88 164.58 96.52 242.30 73.16 83.93 64.04 154.60 342.37
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 1 2 1 1 1 3 3 1 1
# BuyD /Yr 225 220 224 220 220 221 214 170 224
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 27 32 28 32 32 31 38 82 28
% BuyD /Yr 89% 87% 89% 87% 87% 88% 85% 67% 89%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 496.48 122.36 74.88 174.82 55.22 62.11 48.81 112.02 179.95
52wH(Daily) 695.49 173.37 103.44 269.79 82.40 90.88 73.63 177.64 426.16
% Off_52wH 6.9% 8.0% 6.4% 8.8% 10.5% 12.9% 13.0% 5.2% 11.2%
LastD_52wH 27-Jan-26 12-Jan-26 26-Feb-26 22-Jan-26 20-Feb-26 15-Jan-26 06-Feb-26 22-Jan-26 25-Feb-26
SinceD_52wH 63 78 33 68 39 75 53 68 34
CountD_52wH 41 36 21 16 14 14 9 23 43
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.

GD_
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