No. of Recommendations: 12
Incorrect again. China supplies Iran with dual use tech all the time.
Iran doesn't need "dual use tech" from China for making their ballistic missiles - again, any more than we need resources from other allied countries (like the UK or Korea) for our own military preparedness. It's helpful and useful, of course. But Iran has built up their domestic defense industrial base to be able to provide that capacity internally.
And I'm not trying to argue that China isn't a bad actor. I'm pointing out that Iran's missile production capacity can't be stopped by just bombing all their stuff. They'll be able to rebuild it within a year or so, because they have a fairly sizable industrial and heavy manufacturing base. They've got everything they need "in-house," as it were - they're just that reliant on imports the way other countries are.
Plus, in your view of the situation China isn't going to stop supplying Iran with anything they're currently supplying them with - so whatever resources Iran's been getting over the last several years from China will be available to them going forward. So, again, bombing what they have today doesn't bring any lasting change to the security situation. They'll simply rebuild.
We're not doing anything to change their nuclear program - the fissile material is going to stay where it is, almost everything related to the nuclear program that was bombable in June 2025 remains fully bombed. We're not doing anything to change their drone or missile capabilities, since those will be rebuilt in fairly short order (and we're not going to be able to completely eliminate it now). Killing their leadership is highly unlikely to change their behavior, except for the worse. And the regime has proven itself to be resilient - all intelligence reports show that it's very stable even through the deaths, and that if there was any attempt by the civilian population to overthrow the government they'd be massacred (at least in the view of Israeli intelligence). Because of all of this, we're still going to need to keep as close an eye (and as big a military presence) on Iran once these bombs stop dropping as we did before. Perhaps even moreso.
