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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy❤
No. of Recommendations: 2
From Real Clear Defense:
The setup:
The meeting that took place the following Monday between President Trump, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and European Union and NATO leaders was a powerful sign of unity among allies and partners. Statements about iron-clad security guarantees further demonstrated tight-knit cooperation and long-term commitment. Yet, the most significant outcome may have been the opportunity to firmly shift responsibility back to Russia to prove a willingness to negotiate and act in good faith. Since then, Putin has done just the opposite.
The last two weeks have seen Russia negotiating and acting in a particularly extreme version of bad faith. Putin’s government has made statements refusing a bilateral meeting with Zelenskyy and demanding a veto of any security guarantees or subsequent security assistance to Ukraine. Russia has increased strikes on civilian targets and even destroyed a U.S. civilian factory in western Ukraine. Every bad faith statement and action demonstrates disrespect to the President of the United States and likely proves that Putin blatantly lied to President Trump in Alaska. Meanwhile, the clock ticks on and the death toll rises.
And:
It’s worth a bit of detour to another clock with another timeline that was directed towards another adversary – those related to Iran’s nuclear program earlier this year. President Trump set an ambitious timeline – 60 days. While the timeline pressure, coupled with snapback sanctions that would destroy Iran’s economy, were enough to bring Iran to the negotiating table, their bad faith negotiating tactics scuttled success while demonstrating disrespect to the President of the United States. Without fanfare, the timeline ticked away. And on the 61st day, Iran suffered the consequences of their failure to meet Trump’s clearly defined deadline.
And the finish:
Yet, at the same time, he has implied something far more important – that we will all see what happens in the next week or two. After all, a clearly defined deadline remains and the clock is ticking away without fanfare. The earliest of those comments was given two weeks ago, and the 51st day from the original deadline arrives on September 3rd. The clock is running out for President Putin.
Timelines, pressure, and strength resonate with Putin. So do economic threats and looming costs. The imposition of sanctions and secondary sanctions on September 3rd would provide a powerful signal – to Putin and to others. Stall tactics, bad faith negotiating, and deception may work for a while, but not when the clock runs out.
9/3 is today. Time to see what "Phase two" and "Phase three" are.
No. of Recommendations: 4
9/3 is today. Time to see what "Phase two" and "Phase three" are.
Trump is a promoter. He is constantly teasing some "big deal" to be announced in a week or two.
Seems we know the cadence by now. If the counterparty is anyone but a little, third world, country, TACO.
How many delays have been given to TikTok?
Steve
No. of Recommendations: 7
9/3 is today. Time to see what "Phase two" and "Phase three" are.
My expectation is that it's TACO time. All Trumpedo will ever do to Putin is kiss his feet.
But of course Dope will never admit to being duped.
No. of Recommendations: 4
But of course Dope
That's not a response. It's another appeal to the herd for dopamine. Sad.
Is this all you have, or are you able to contribute something of substance?
No. of Recommendations: 1
9/3 is today. Time to see what "Phase two" and "Phase three" are.
What do you think they'll be? Any thoughts?
No. of Recommendations: 2
What do you think they'll be? Any thoughts?
They're clearing talking about really hitting Putin's economy. So that means targeting the dollars flowing in via oil sales.
Russia is already a bit barred from using the world's (legal) financial system in SWIFT...but that only includes ~7 banks. They could target many others -or- go after the banks that Russia is dealing with abroad.
I thought they had kicked Russia out of SWIFT altogether but was just...7.
No. of Recommendations: 10
They're clearing talking about really hitting Putin's economy. So that means targeting the dollars flowing in via oil sales.
Really? I wonder - through what means? Nearly all of Russia's oil is sold to China and India. The rest goes to Turkey (not an EU member) and a small handful of completely landlocked EU states that were granted exemptions, with Hungary being the biggest - and it's hard to see Trump putting the screws to either Orban or Erdogan.
No. of Recommendations: 10
But of course Dope
That's not a response. It's another appeal to the herd for dopamine. Sad.
Is this all you have, or are you able to contribute something of substance?
The question was whether Trumpedo will do anything of substance, and I gave my answer to that, which you chose to ignore.
The clock is ticking as you said, Tik Tok Tik Tok. By the end of today it'll be time to admit you were duped.
No. of Recommendations: 4
The question was whether Trumpedo will do anything of substance, and I gave my answer to that, which you chose to ignore.
You gave me the board's standard Hive response.
That's boring. Then you compounded your error by taking a shot at me.
So. I'll ask one more time: Do you have anything to add, or are you just here to fling mud?
No. of Recommendations: 3
Really? I wonder - through what means? Nearly all of Russia's oil is sold to China and India. The rest goes to Turkey (not an EU member) and a small handful of completely landlocked EU states that were granted exemptions, with Hungary being the biggest - and it's hard to see Trump putting the screws to either Orban or Erdogan.
If they yank more of Russia's banks out of SWIFT, it means a lot for the Russian economy. Transactions of stuff like food have to start going through grey financial markets. Since those folks are operating in ways that skirt the law and thus bearing more risk, the transaction costs go way up. That kind of thing gets passed on to (and felt by) Russia's domestic economy right quick.
One weakness of the current sanctions regime is that it doesn't make the average everyday Russkie feel it.
No. of Recommendations: 11
So. I'll ask one more time: Do you have anything to add, or are you just here to fling mud?
No. That's your specialty. I can't compete with you.
No. of Recommendations: 0
that means targeting the dollars flowing in via oil sales.
Interfere substantively with the flow of money by cutting off the ability of the dark fleet to load/unload oil. No deliveries = no payments.
I already posted this point some months ago.
No. of Recommendations: 4
No
Cool. Nothing to add, therefore no reason to keep seeing your posts.
Adios, amigo! <click>
No. of Recommendations: 9
Nothing to add, therefore no reason to keep seeing your posts.
LOL !!
Called your game and you ran away yelling and covering your ears.
Typical coward.
No. of Recommendations: 2
No. of Recommendations: 11
If they yank more of Russia's banks out of SWIFT, it means a lot for the Russian economy.
Not so much. That gun's already been fired. They've blocked nearly all of the important banks of SWIFT with the first round of exclusions, and when they finally added Sberbank and Gazprombank to the list that pretty much ended Russia's participation in SWIFT. The total number of Russian/Belarusian banks excluded from SWIFT is now up to 45. There's really no more material Russian banks to "yank out." Russia's basically out SWIFT entirely.
Russia responded by developing their own substitutes SWIFT, now relying almost entirely on their own SPFS system and participating in China's CIPS - which China created to reduce their reliance on SWIFT for international transactions. One of the real risks to the West's hegemony in international trade is if those two systems and India's new UPI system end up integrating into a functional alternative to SWIFT. It will be interesting to see whether India ends up deciding to join either CIPS or SPFS - they've been reluctant to formally do so until this point, because they knew how badly that would be received in the US and EU.
No. of Recommendations: 2
No. of Recommendations: 7
No
Cool. Nothing to add, therefore no reason to keep seeing your posts.
Adios, amigo! <click>
So how's that clock doing? A day past its sell-by date. Still ticking?
