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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: Rabelais ✶  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: low draw down ETF portfolio allocation
Date: 11/13/24 12:07 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 9
Here's a portfolio I developed that might fit the bill. It's not too bad as an equal-weight, but better optimized. The backtest is from Portfolio Visualizer with 5/25 rebalance bands and Vanguard Wellington as a benchmark.

Portfolio Analysis Results (08/01/2010 - 11/11/2024)
Note: The time period was constrained by the available data for iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF (DBMF) [Aug 2010 - Oct 2024], and this time period was extended based on the configured backfill.

Pretty Good Risk Parity Portfolio
Ticker 	Name			    	    Allocation
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 10.00%
XLK The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF 12.00%
XLV The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF 10.00%
XLP The Consumer Staples Sel SectSPDR ETF 10.00%
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares 10.00%
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF 7.00%
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF 13.00%
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF 8.00%
BIL SPDR Blmbg 1-3 Mth T-Bill ETF 6.00%
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Bullish 14.00%

PGRPP Equal Weight
Ticker 	Name			    	    Allocation
QQQM Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF 10.00%
XLK The Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF 10.00%
XLV The Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF 10.00%
XLP The Consumer Staples Sel SectSPDR ETF 10.00%
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares 10.00%
VGLT Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF 10.00%
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF 10.00%
VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF 10.00%
BIL SPDR Blmbg 1-3 Mth T-Bill ETF 10.00%
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Bullish 10.00%

Performance Summary
Portfolio performance statistics
Portfolio			Initial Balance	  Final Balance	 CAGR	Stdev  Best Year  Worst Year  Max. Drawdown  Sharpe Ratio  Sortino Ratio  Market Correlation
Pretty Good Risk Parity Portfolio $10,000 $35,885 9.32% 6.24% 20.35% -5.46% -7.45% 1.27 2.32 0.81
PGRPP Equal Weight $10,000 $33,412 8.78% 6.03% 18.38% -7.02% -8.97% 1.23 2.22 0.80
Vanguard Wellington Inv $10,000 $37,841 9.73% 9.60% 22.51% -14.32% -20.22% 0.89 1.40 0.96

JRB
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Members reply directly to Rabelais here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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