Post #552 by Odzar on the Macroeconomic Trends and Risks board

Personal Finance Topics / Macroeconomic Trends and Risks ❤

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Research Affiliates has a very nice free tool (with registration; they haven't spammed me much so far) that estimates expected returns for various asset classes. Lots of cool data, such as CAPE ratios for individual countries. As of 2/28/25 they estimate 0.9% real annualized 10-year return for US large cap stocks, and 5.0% for US small caps. We're down maybe 5% from then, so add about half a percent to those numbers. No S&P 500 cap-weighted index for me yet, thanks.

https://interactive.researchaffiliates.com/

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