Post #4769 by rrr12345 on the Berkshire Hathaway board

If someone appears to be repeatedly personal, lean towards patience as they might not mean offense. If you are sure, however, then do not deepen the problem by being negative; instead, simply place them on ignore by clicking the unhappy yellow face to the right of their name.

- Manlobbi

Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) ❤

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"The spreadsheet shows historical portfolio value as a function of time to retire and allocation."

Actually it shows portfolio values and matching probabilities.

As we know, the future portfolio value depends on the current interest rate and stock market valuation. Long term, the optimal allocation is always heavy in stocks. However near term (5-10 years), with 3-month T-Bills currently yielding 5.4% and the P/E on the S&P 500 at 23 ($4553/$196 Dec 31 earnings estimate), my guess would be that the optimal allocation is heavy in T-Bills. Thoughts?

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