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Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝 SILVER
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Number: of 1023 
Subject: Re: MSFT
Date: 03/26/26 5:54 AM
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As Aswath D. has recently said, NVDA is priced for near perfection


FWIW, I just did a little post on that subject, a possible way to guess whether the current price is a reasonable one.
https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=675563133

My tentative conclusion is that the current valuation doesn't actually look too bad. Their growth can slow gradually to a crawl and you'd still do fine, as long as profits don't actually go into decline. So it's primarily a matter of whether you believe profits will fall materially.

My biggest concern is that their profit margins are sufficiently obscene that their very very rich clients have a huge motivation to roll their own. That would take a lot of time and money, but doesn't seem impossible.

Jim
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