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No. of Recommendations: 6
Woo-hoo!! The S&P500 43-week (10 month) SMA turned positive today.
Big time. +1.6% It was -1.5% on Friday.
Big turnaround, on 4/21 it was -10.0% below the SMA.
No. of Recommendations: 3
Remind us what your re-entry trigger is, Ray, is it 1 complete week above the 43-wk or 2 weeks?
FC
noting that the OAOA tariff "silliness" makes relying on classically-tested signals a bit more challenging right now.
No. of Recommendations: 8
noting that the OAOA tariff "silliness" makes relying on classically-tested signals a bit more challenging right now.
You can *always* find a reason to do whatever you want to do.
Demosthenes (384-22 BC): “Nothing is easier than self-deceit. For what each man wishes, that he also believes to be true.”
"Your edge is nothing more than a higher probability of one thing happening over another. Your edge is no guarantee of a winning trade, just of winning over time." -- roguetraderette
There are always reasons to think "It's different this time." But it almost never is.
Remind us what your re-entry trigger is, Ray, is it 1 complete week above the 43-wk or 2 weeks?
The "in" signal is the first week that the S&P500 closes above the 43 week SMA.
The "sell" signal is if the S&P500 closes below the SMA *and* either of the FRED indexes is down YOY. (Personally, I use -2% below the SMA. Because that has fewer sell signals and has slightly better return. You need to have different percentages to avoid whiplash.)
No. of Recommendations: 6
Woo-hoo!! The S&P500 43-week (10 month) SMA turned positive today.
My method is different but triggeed same day. .SPX and ITOT also.
210-DMA (TPw,210), TPw (5-Day Typical Price), Signal SellIF: Neg 2o2, BuyIF: Pos 1o2
GD_
