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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺ SILVER
SHREWD   😊 😞
Number: of 4582 
Subject: Re: "Inflation is defeated"
Date: 10/13/25 4:07 AM
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On the subject of inflation--good metrics, and the relationship between perceptions and monetary effects--I'm a fan of following the "MCT inflation" figures.

I wrote a bit about that in the second half of this post
mungofitch replies on OT: Reported U.S. Inflation

"... This is based on the notion that the inflation for any product is the sum of (a) a single global monetary inflation amount in the period, plus (b) a factor specific to that product category. So, for 100 product categories, you get 101 factors: one for each category, and one to rule them all.
Go here and click on the graph to see the latest figures. newyorkfed.org: Multivariate Core Trend Inflation
Latest number year-on-year is 3.05%. Basically top of the flattish range since mid 2023..."

Jim
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