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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: Aussi ✧  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: BCC III, an update from 2013
Date: 09/26/23 11:52 AM
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BCC III measure how long since a 99 day new high occurred on the S&P 500. When used alone, if it has been more than 99 days since a 99 day new high, then BCC III is bearish and you are out of the market.

My thoughts on why it hasn't performed as well since 2013 is perhaps because when out of the market, cash has earned no interest. In the 80s, 90s and early 2000s, cash was earning interest. Of course, it could also be that the 99 day high and 99 day back look was too tuned.

Craig
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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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