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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg ✭x2  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Modern Family JUN-2024
Date: 06/29/24 8:19 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 5
Name                     SP500        R1000EW       R2000     Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) .SPX
EQAL IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24 28-Jun-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish BEARish BEARish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 09-Nov-23 20-Nov-23 20-Jun-24 23-May-24 24-Nov-23 07-May-24 15-May-24 09-Nov-23
Since_ChgD 232 221 8 36 217 52 44 232
Confirmed Yes Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Not Yet Yes Not Yet Yes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Resistance Resistance Resistance Support Resistance Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 2.8% 0.7% -0.2% -6.7% -0.3% 0.6% -1.2% 9.3%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 17.6% 4.9% 6.8% 12.1% 11.4% 0.3% 1.0% 49.2%
DMAC(50,200) 8.3% 4.5% 5.0% 1.5% 7.4% 2.9% 2.9% 22.6%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 5460.48 44.65 202.89 65.43 74.98 49.10 137.26 260.70
50-DMA 5269.88 44.89 202.15 65.02 74.92 48.42 134.01 237.71
200-DMA 4866.09 42.98 192.60 64.06 69.76 47.07 130.21 193.91
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 3 3 2 3 8 2
# BuyD /Yr 233 222 214 199 219 115 145 228
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 19 30 38 53 33 137 107 24
% BuyD /Yr 92% 88% 85% 79% 87% 46% 58% 90%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 4117.37 37.43 162.21 52.80 57.91 38.57 112.41 137.46
52wH(Daily) 5487.03 46.19 210.30 70.61 78.99 53.82 140.89 276.76
% Off_52wH 0% 3% 4% 8% 5% 10% 3% 6%
LastD_52wH 18-Jun-24 15-May-24 28-Mar-24 21-Mar-24 28-Mar-24 14-Dec-23 27-Feb-24 18-Jun-24
SinceD_52wH 10 44 92 99 92 197 122 10
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

The "Economic Modern Family" (MarketGauge.com) is a combination of one market index and 5 varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 20-Apr-2024
- "BEARish" phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
- "Bullish" phase when NOT "BEARish"
- "Support" is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
- "Resistance" is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
- "Confirmed" when MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
Criteria that Refute- Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description- After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
--- ---

ARCHIVE
More Details: Posted end of month by mapg on the Mechanical Investing board (shrewdm.com)
Modern Family (JUN-2024), Pending
Modern Family MAY-2024, mapg writes on Modern Family 31-May-2024
Modern Family APR-2024, mapg writes on Modern Family 03-May-2024
Modern Family MAR-2024, mapg writes on Trends and Ranks 28-Mar-2024
Modern Family FEB-2024. mapg writes on Modern Family 01-Mar-24
Modern Family JAN-2024, mapg writes on Modern Family 2-Feb-2024
Modern Family DEC-2023, mapg writes on Modern Family 5-Jan-2024

GD_
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