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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg   😊 😞
Number: of 3959 
Subject: Modern Family 31-OCT-2024
Date: 10/31/2024 9:12 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 8
Name                     SP500       R1000EW     R1000      R2000    Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank    BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY
EQAL IWB IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24 31-Oct-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 09-Nov-23 05-Dec-23 16-Nov-23 12-Jul-24 21-Aug-24 19-Sep-24 07-May-24 15-May-24 27-Sep-24
Since_ChgD 357 331 350 111 71 42 177 169 34
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Not Yet Not Yet
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Resistance Support
ROC(50-DMA) 4.0% 6.0% 4.2% 3.6% 5.1% 0.7% 7.1% 1.9% -3.8%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 21.9% 10.9% 21.6% 13.7% 9.7% 19.4% 17.3% 10.2% 59.3%
DMAC(50,200) 6.4% 5.3% 6.3% 5.2% 2.0% 1.4% 10.4% 4.4% 4.5%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 568.64 48.24 312.24 217.76 69.28 74.93 58.95 140.29 241.68
50-DMA 568.39 48.09 311.57 218.45 68.21 75.94 57.00 145.09 242.87
200-DMA 534.04 45.66 293.02 207.66 66.88 74.87 51.65 138.98 232.38
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 1 1 1 3 5 3 3 3 3
# BuyD /Yr 246 229 241 212 193 232 202 202 235
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 6 23 11 40 59 20 50 50 17
% BuyD /Yr 98% 91% 96% 84% 77% 92% 80% 80% 93%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 418.20 38.08 229.31 164.52 54.46 58.53 39.67 113.68 138.95
52wH(Daily) 584.59 49.59 320.80 226.74 71.94 79.13 60.46 149.47 281.27
% Off_52wH 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 6% 3% 7% 16%
LastD_52wH 18-Oct-24 18-Oct-24 18-Oct-24 16-Oct-24 16-Oct-24 16-Jul-24 17-Oct-24 19-Sep-24 10-Jul-24
SinceD_52wH 13 13 13 15 15 107 14 42 113
CountD_52wH 58 28 58 15 14 10 8 10 42


The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 27-Sep-2024
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish"
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Price data for Symbols in Modern Family are exported from real time charts to .CSV files after market close.
CountD_52wH - FYI: Ten year average 52wH/Yr count for .SPx, MDY, & IJH was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
--- ---

ARCHIVE
More Details: Posted end of month by mapg on the Mechanical Investing board (shrewdm.com)
Modern Family DEC-2024,
Modern Family NOV-2024,
Modern Family OCT-2024,
Modern Family SEP-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=35891541
Modern Family AUG-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=113958611
Modern Family JUL-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=626153285
Modern Family JUN-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=716545054
Modern Family MAY-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=527927256
Modern Family APR-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=901366147
Modern Family MAR-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=100513411
Modern Family FEB-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=618324647
Modern Family JAN-2024, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=157834189
Modern Family DEC-2023, https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=993308542

GD_
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