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I believe the overwhelming tendency to regard ourselves as making choices that influence outcomes — an impression you seem to confirm — is far more credible than its denial.
I agree that we regard ourselves as doing that. But that doesn't mean we actually are doing that. Again, I've seen no logically consistent argument, or any data, that indicates this is correct. On the contrary, our minds rationalize "decisions" our brains made after the fact, and rewrite dreams and memories (as Manlobbi described) to fit a narrative.
You may regard yourself as floating in a box when in fact you are plummeting towards a massive body (one of Einstein's thought experiments). You can't tell the difference without seeing it from another angle** (until the sudden stop at the end, of course). How you "regard" it is not really relevant.
**In physics and relativity, we say "reference frame".
