Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week!
Search BRK.A
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Post of the Week!
Search BRK.A


Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (30) |
Author: rrr12345   😊 😞
Number: of 12641 
Subject: Re: Ot scaling back stocks
Date: 01/05/2025 4:51 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 7
"I spend more time thinking about this than any other investment issue."

It's a good thing to think about. Asset allocation affects portfolio return more than individual stock selection, and there's no agreement between experts. Buffett recommends a 90/10 allocation between stocks and short term treasuries, whereas Bogle recommended a 25/75 allocation for a 75-year old investor.

A 2016 paper applying the Kelly criterion

https://sites.math.washington.edu/~morrow/336_18/2...

calculated the following, optimal allocations for a stock/T-Bill portfolio. Assuming historical volatilities the optimal allocation came down simply to the difference between the expected returns of stocks and T-Bills. (result at bottom of page 8)

4 percentage point expected difference, 100% stocks
3 percentage point expected difference, 75% stocks
2 percentage point expected difference, 50% stocks
1 percentage point expected difference, 25% stocks
0 percentage point expected difference, 0% stocks

Surely one's personal situation must be taken into account.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (30) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds