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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: Taz2   😊 😞
Number: of 5386 
Subject: Re: leveraged ETFs rotation strategy
Date: 11/06/25 11:18 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 2
Since 2010 TQQQ had an annualized return of 42%!, Max DD of -81%!, and Sortino of 1.26. I experimented, using P123, with various methods of limiting the Max DD. Everything I tried hugely stunted its growth.

The best I could do was a 25% annualized return, Max DD of -35%, and Sortino of 1.35 using the following P123 script checked daily:

(Close(0,GetSeries("$VIX"))<SMA(200,0,GetSeries("$VIX"))) // Market volatility calm
[OR] (Close(0,GetSeries("$VIX")))<15
(Close(0,GetSeries("$VIX")))<30
Close (0,33069) > Close (17,33069)
StockID = 33069 //TQQQ


Over this same period SP500 had a 13% annualized return, Max DD of -33%, and Sortino of 1.21.


Taz


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