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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺🐝 SILVER
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Number: of 1198 
Subject: FKA: CLF
Date: 09/09/24 4:38 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 11
Cleveland Cliff at $11.40, down from 52 week high of $23. A fairly impressive continual drop in the last 5 months.

Everybody like to be in the North American steel industry, right?

But hey, maybe there is a price for everything. They've had a bad year, with both shipments and prices down. But sometimes a cycle turns. They're about to buy Stelco in Ontario, which is apparently a fairly well run shop.

Consensus earnings for next year $1.07, equating to an earnings yield of 9.4%. Value Line has pencilled in earnings around $5.90 for 3-5 years from now, representing an annual earnings yield of 52% on today's price. I wouldn't place trust in either of those forecasts, as financial results are at the mercy of their competition (notably Chinese overcapacity) for pricing, but it shows that an upside is at least possible.

No position, not my style of firm, but I thought I'd mention it.

Jim
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This community has written 1,188 posts about Falling Knives. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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