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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: rayvt ✧☼🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6243 
Subject: Re: Non-Mag7 screen
Date: 08/13/25 11:17 AM
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... there is perhaps a general investing insight that the high ROE firms in the S&P, but outside the giants, are probably a good hunting ground.

This is similar to a screen you posted on the old TMF board (R.I.P.)
"Take only the 90% of the stocks closest to their 52-week high.
Take the top 100 by ROE ...
and those with earnings >0 and book value is < 0.
then of those, top 25 by 5 Yr sales Growth.
"


S&P 500 stocks, take the smallest 490 by market cap.
Of those, take top 10 by ROE.
KMB CLX IRM HD MA AMGN NTAP MSI GDDY FTNT SYY MMM KLAC LII ITW ORCL LMT LLY


Using the 8/13/2025 data from barcharts for the S&P500,
If you replace the ROE sort figure for that category of firm (ROE<0, Current EPS>0, TTM EPS>0) as reported with (say) a fixed 100% proxy ROE, they would be allowed to make the cut.

There are 29 of these.
None of them would make the cut. The #10 stock is GDDY with 189.42 ROE%

You'd probably need to make another sort of these 39, maybe 1 yr or 5 yr sales growth.
But then, CLX (#4 by ROE%) would not make the cut as it's 5Y rev growth% is only 5.7% making it #34.

BTW, IRM is one of those with negative ROE% and BV.

Or will you keep getting your head handed to you if you avoid the few supergigacaps?

For the last few years, the supergigacaps were the place to be. They skunked everything else. That won't last forever, though.
Probably.

Worse, I recall a Ken Fisher column in Forbes somewhere in the early 2000's which said that the supercaps were the place to be. That's about 25 years now, except maybe for the 2008/2009 bear.

-------

Ah, LLY. One of my screen picks of 5/28/2024. The worst performing stock of the 10, down -18.4%. The only one that is down. The next worst one is up +17.5%
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This community has written 6,227 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
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