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The week's question
In March 2025, in the thread "Re: OT, out", Umm asked the members: "Do you think it is because America is made up of magical soil that makes businesses based in America magically profitable?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: LongTermBRK ✹🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 22346 
Subject: Re: Can't belive I did that
Date: 08/29/24 6:34 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 42
Interesting about “your wife’s IRA”. I put my wife’s IRA literally 99% in BRK. She rolled over $5 or 6K from her dental assistant job when she chose to be a stay-at-home mom when we, then, lived in Omaha— A place we moved to, reluctantly lol, for my employment, which led me to interactions with Buffett in 1987. I told my wife her IRA assuredly would have the best return of all of our accounts because it would be fully invested almost forever and untouched til retirement. Hasn’t put a nickel in it since then—it’s $655k. And my prediction so far is right, comfortably (you can see my personal investing prowess has brilliantly contributed what I forecast: some limited SUBTRACTION from holding Berkshire and napping—in line with what looks like quite similar results from folks here & most other mortals)

Also, this week was an even more significant time…my “100X day”. Bought my first BRK for $6,950 (I really got ripped off: BRK, OTC, had a $200 bid/ask spread $6,750/$6,950 so course you get filled at $6,950 plus $40). 100 X later—$699,000. I’m obviously grateful though not surprised. I estimated in 1992 a share of BRK would hit $1 million by my age 72. I’m 65 1/2. 32 years later my forecast is still the same. It’s said investing is exact opposite of weather forecasting: LONGER you go out in time the more accurate the forecast. Meteorologist Charlie Munger knew this.

Also, re: dramatic moves in Berkshire stock. BRK has a HISTORY of brief radical strong up moves and seemingly years of long stagnation. This was even more pronounced pre 1995 or so..and later, pre Index inclusion. I remember it traded below a $10,000 “wall” it felt like forever. Then out of nowhere it exploded from about $9k to $12k and I had serious selling temptation. Well, the next $685,000 per share of upside mattered lol. Also BRK traded WAY WAY above intrinsic value at $16,000 per share after trading regularly at 20-25% BELOW intrinsic value before..and AFTER!!. That price REALLY felt far more tempting to unload compared to now. It was a lot more expensive. The stock has also had extreme gyrations around big round number prices since then.These were lessons for me. I wanted to share to you more recent stockholders. What DRIVES intrinsic value is the secret sauce for a machine like this. If you already own it, you want to keep it.

As for attractiveness I posted a few weeks ago that Warren was buying the stock all-in after tax for $410/share. As I said then, he only buys at a substantial discount to intrinsic value. In my simple world 10% discount is the cheapest definition of substantial. And don’t be fooled with P/Book comparisons historically with a company that’s morphed into a collection of operating companies which Buffett has said SHOULD trade at higher multiples by definition. Some of you with sophisticated options strategies told me you wanted $390. I wanted that too. And you guys probably could have made some dough buying Puts at $16,000 lol—that’s a tougher game, but it’s a GAME. On the big picture I suggest following BUFFETT on the business and the valuation. I did that 37 years ago. My biggest challenge: avoid temptation.

As Charlie and Howard Marks say “ it’s simple. But it isn’t easy”

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This community has written 21,850 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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